Batter-by-batter foresight
We only tell you to bet at 80%.
Moneyline, total, or a tight alternate — official tickets lock one hour before first pitch, or at first pitch, and only at 80%+. 65% leans, alerts, and the ledger archive sit on the desk pass.
Official
2–1
3 locked 80% tickets
Sat
137
games under the 80% floor
Tickets
3
all-time 80% desk
This slate
Sat
14 games, no 80% ticket
2026 MLB · all-time 80% desk
2–1 official · 137 sat · 3 locked tickets
Suggestions 84–32 — not on the record, never the story.
Slate 2026-08-30Board Aug 30, 10:30 PM EDT80% desk. Ledger cannot be edited.
Bet these now
Official 80% tickets lock one hour before first pitch, or at first pitch. If it is not here, sit the 80% desk out — 65% leans live below and do not count.
No official 80% ticket is live. Sit those games out, or use a 65% suggestion below.
Live
Graded
FinalNationals Park
MIA69–68
Janson Junk
6
52.9%
+151
WSH65–74
Andrew Alvarez
2
47.1%
-151
True total
11.7
line 10.5
Weather
80°
10 mph out
The desk sat · Don't bet
Don't bet. Best posted side is Over 10.5 at 56% — under the 80% floor.
FinalTruist Park
COL52–85
Mason Adams
2
33.9%
+244
ATL82–55
Tyler Mahle
3
66.1%
-244
True total
11.7
line 10.5
Weather
86°
6 mph x
The desk sat · Don't bet
Don't bet. Best posted side is ATL at 66% — under the 80% floor.
FinalYankee Stadium
BOS74–63
Ranger Suarez
1
53.0%
+119
NYY78–59
Will Warren
16
47.0%
-119
True total
10.8
line 10.5
Weather
77°
10 mph out
The desk sat · Don't bet
Don't bet. Best posted side is Under 10.5 at 53% — under the 80% floor.
FinalRogers Centre
SEA64–73
Logan Gilbert
0
64.8%
-180
TOR68–70
Max Scherzer
7
35.2%
+180
True total
10.2
line 9
Weather
65°
2 mph x
The desk sat · Don't bet
Don't bet. Best posted side is SEA at 65% — under the 80% floor.
FinalProgressive Field
KC62–76
Seth Lugo
1
45.3%
+409
CLE69–68
Parker Messick
11
54.7%
-409
True total
9.5
line 8.5
Weather
78°
10 mph x
The desk sat · Don't bet
Don't bet. Best posted side is CLE at 55% — under the 80% floor.
FinalComerica Park
LAD82–55
Tyler Glasnow
6
59.8%
-200
DET63–73
Framber Valdez
1
40.2%
+200
True total
10.0
line 7.5
Weather
76°
5 mph x
The desk sat · Don't bet
Don't bet. Best posted side is Over 7.5 at 66% — under the 80% floor.
FinalTropicana Field
SD72–65
Robbie Ray
4
41.4%
+161
TB82–54
Drew Rasmussen
5
58.6%
-161
True total
9.8
line 7.5
Weather
72°
0 mph x
The desk sat · Don't bet
Don't bet. Best posted side is Over 7.5 at 63% — under the 80% floor.
FinalTarget Field
CWS72–64
Jordan Hicks
1
52.4%
-130
MIN65–72
Zebby Matthews
5
47.6%
+130
True total
10.1
line 9
Weather
85°
8 mph in
The desk sat · Don't bet
Don't bet. Best posted side is CWS at 52% — under the 80% floor.
FinalAmerican Family Field
TEX67–70
Kumar Rocker
7
44.8%
+323
MIL85–52
Dustin May
4
55.3%
-323
True total
10.6
line 10.5
Weather
87°
15 mph x
The desk sat · Don't bet
Don't bet. Best posted side is MIL at 55% — under the 80% floor.
FinalBusch Stadium
PIT67–71
Braxton Ashcraft
5
64.1%
-176
STL68–70
Matthew Liberatore
4
35.9%
+176
True total
10.7
line 10
Weather
92°
9 mph out
The desk sat · Don't bet
Don't bet. Best posted side is PIT at 64% — under the 80% floor.
FinalCiti Field
HOU69–68
Ethan Pecko
6
30.9%
+344
NYM61–76
Zac Thornton
3
69.1%
-344
True total
13.9
line 9.5
Weather
81°
9 mph out
The desk sat · Don't bet
Don't bet. Best posted side is Over 9.5 at 76% — under the 80% floor.
FinalSutter Health Park
BAL68–69
Chris Bassitt
8
66.3%
-251
ATH53–84
Jeffrey Springs
5
33.7%
+251
True total
12.6
line 12
Weather
82°
4 mph x
The desk sat · Don't bet
Don't bet. Best posted side is BAL at 66% — under the 80% floor.
FinalAngel Stadium
PHI77–60
Zack Wheeler
5
61.8%
-293
LAA52–85
Yusei Kikuchi
2
38.3%
+293
True total
10.0
line 9
Weather
90°
8 mph x
The desk sat · Don't bet
Don't bet. Best posted side is PHI at 62% — under the 80% floor.
Graded tickets
No 80% tickets on this window. The desk sat everything out.
The 80% rule
Official tickets lock one hour before first pitch (or when the game starts) and must be ≥80%. 65% leans are suggestions only and never move the win–loss record.
Lock
1 hour before first pitch, or at first pitch
Saved
Pick + sim snapshot stay on the ledger
Floor
Official ticket true ≥80%
Moneyline
Only if the engine is ≥80%
Posted total
Over/under only at ≥80%
Alternate
Tightest Under ≥80%, within 3.5 runs
65% lean
Suggestion only — never on the record
Alerts
Lock, grade, or desk sat — never 65% leans
Stake
1u default · 0.5u if fair is −200 or shorter
65% suggestions
Extra leans at 65% or higher. Hit and miss are marked here only — they never enter the win–loss record.
11 hit · 5 miss · not counted
Hit
- HitSuggestion · not on the recordMIA +1.5MIA @ WSH · 66.6% · fair -200 · final 6–2
- HitSuggestion · not on the recordATLCOL @ ATL · 68.3% · fair -215 · final 2–3
- HitSuggestion · not on the recordUnder 11.5SEA @ TOR · 66.2% · fair -196 · final 0–7
- HitSuggestion · not on the recordLAD +1.5LAD @ DET · 72.5% · fair -264 · final 6–1
- HitSuggestion · not on the recordOver 7.5SD @ TB · 65.9% · fair -194 · final 4–5
- HitSuggestion · not on the recordUnder 12.5TEX @ MIL · 68.0% · fair -213 · final 7–4
- HitSuggestion · not on the recordPIT +1.5PIT @ STL · 74.6% · fair -294 · final 5–4
- HitSuggestion · not on the recordBAL +1.5BAL @ ATH · 76.4% · fair -324 · final 8–5
- HitSuggestion · not on the recordBALBAL @ ATH · 66.3% · fair -197 · final 8–5
- HitSuggestion · not on the recordUnder 11.5PHI @ LAA · 67.9% · fair -212 · final 5–2
- HitSuggestion · not on the recordPHI +1.5PHI @ LAA · 74.1% · fair -286 · final 5–2
Miss
- MissSuggestion · not on the recordBOS +1.5BOS @ NYY · 65.6% · fair -191 · final 1–16
- MissSuggestion · not on the recordUnder 12.5BOS @ NYY · 66.5% · fair -199 · final 1–16
- MissSuggestion · not on the recordSEA +1.5SEA @ TOR · 77.1% · fair -336 · final 0–7
- MissSuggestion · not on the recordCWS +1.5CWS @ MIN · 67.6% · fair -208 · final 1–5
- MissSuggestion · not on the recordOver 9.5HOU @ NYM · 69.4% · fair -227 · final 6–3